Aug 19
Joe Raedle/Getty Images, FILE
JD Vance is more unpopular than Sarah Palin
Vance is one of the least popular vice-presidential picks this century.
August 15, 2024Will Harris's late start help or hurt her in the general election?
She isn't the first to secure a presidential nomination this close to November.
August 13, 20246 primaries to watch in Minnesota and Wisconsin
Rep. Ilhan Omar is the latest Squad member to face a serious challenger.
August 12, 2024
Latest 538 Video
Latest 538 Headlines
August 19
Do voters know what Harris stands for? | 538 Politics Podcast
538's Galen Druke discusses Harris' policy positions, or the lack thereof, with senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley, and whether this could be an advantage for her.
August 19
August 19
How much influence does Harris have on Biden's policies? | 538 Politics Podcast
538 senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks to Galen Druke about how Kamala Harris is set to establish her own presence outside of President Joe Biden as the 2024 DNC begins.
August 19
August 19
Who are presidential delegates and what are their roles?
538 senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich explains the role of delegates and how they're selected as the 2024 DNC kicks off in Chicago.
August 19
August 19
5 primaries to watch in Florida and Alaska
Gaetz faces a McCarthy-backed challenger in the Sunshine State.
August 19
August 19
Greetings from the 2024 DNC in Chicago
538 looks at the history of political conventions in the Windy City.
August 19
August 19
Greetings from the 2024 DNC in Chicago
538’s Nathaniel Rakich takes a look at the history of political conventions in the Windy City.
August 19
August 16
How do voters pick a candidate? | 538 Politics Podcast
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discusses what questions voters consider when going to the polls.
August 16
August 16
How important is the border for Latino voters? | 538 Politics Podcast
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke talk about the importance of Vice President Kamala Harris clarifying her stance on issues like immigration.
August 16
August 16
Democratic support among Latino voters has shifted since Biden dropped out
538's Galen Druke talks to Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, about a possible shift in Latino voters toward Vice President Kamala Harris.
August 16
August 16
Can Harris win back Biden's Israel-Gaza critics?
Harris has a challenge, and an opportunity, to define her stance on the war.
August 16
August 15
JD Vance is more unpopular than Sarah Palin
Vance is one of the least popular vice-presidential picks this century.
August 15
August 13
Will Harris's late start help or hurt her in the general election?
She isn't the first to secure a presidential nomination this close to November.
August 13
August 13
Do voters think of Harris as a DEI candidate? | 538 Politics Podcast
538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik discuss polling around the belief that Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris may be a DEI candidate.
August 13
August 13
What does poll denialism reveal? | 538 Politics Podcast
New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and 538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich play another round of "Good or Bad Use of Polling?"
August 13
August 13
Trump’s line of attack for the 2024 election | 538 Politics Podcast
538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich talk with New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about former President Donald Trump’s latest strategy to win votes.
August 13
August 12
6 primaries to watch in Minnesota and Wisconsin
Rep. Ilhan Omar is the latest Squad member to face a serious challenger.
August 12
August 09
Americans don't like Project 2025
Plus, polls on vaccines, the child tax credit and which party is more "weird."
August 09
August 08
Why immigration is a better issue for Trump than it was in 2020
Public opinion about immigration has swung to the right since Biden took office.
August 08
August 07
A look at Gov. Tim Walz’s political history | 538 Politics Podcast
Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about VP pick Walz’s progressive record as governor.
August 07
August 07
Tim Walz’s appeal in the 2024 election | 538 Politics Podcast
The 538 team reacts to Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris’s VP pick and discusses Tim Walz’s appeal in the 2024 election.
August 07
August 07
The challenges ahead for the Harris-Walz campaign | 538 Politics Podcast
ABC News Politics Reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses the Harris-Walz campaign and its challenges.
August 07
August 07
Can Harris ride memes all the way to the White House?
Her popularity on social media mirrors her rise in the polls.
August 07
August 06
Tim Walz was the safe VP pick
But he probably won't give Harris an electoral boost.
August 06
August 06
How would a general election debate impact the presidential campaign?
ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses how a presidential debate could benefit Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris.
August 06
August 06
How has reaction to Russian prisoner swap impacted the Biden-Harris administration?
Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about how the latest Russian prisoner swap impacted the popularity of the current administration and Kamala Harris.
August 06
August 06
What the polls say about a Harris vs. Trump matchup
The 538 team discusses the latest polling and how the election is looking like a toss-up.
August 06
August 05
18 primaries to watch in Missouri, Michigan, Washington and Kansas
Rep. Cori Bush faces a major challenge in her St. Louis-based seat.
August 05
August 02
Harris and Trump are tied in 538’s new polling averages
Harris is doing noticeably better than Biden was before he dropped out.
August 02
August 01
What is civic respect? | 538 Politics Podcast
Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev talk about sweeping claims and how they relate to civic respect.
August 01
August 01
How people can respectfully disagree over politics
Political science professor Jeff Spinner-Halev discusses the difference between civic respect toward a person versus their belief.
August 01
August 01
How the political parties got so far apart
Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev discuss with Galen Druke how political parties have sorted over time.
August 01
August 01
How will sexism impact Harris's presidential campaign?
She's already responding to a slew of gendered and racist attacks.
August 01
July 31
The potential of Tim Walz as the Harris VP pick
ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the Minnesota governor as the potential running mate for Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
July 31
July 31
Could Josh Shapiro be the Harris VP pick? | 538 Politics Podcast
The Pennsylvania governor is a popular and charismatic politician and is on the shortlist for vice president.
July 31
July 31
Does the VP pick impact a presidential candidate’s support? | 538 Politics Podcast
The 538 team discusses who is on the shortlist for vice president for the Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
July 31
July 31
Young Black voters might be swing voters now
Biden's support among young Black voters was weak. Can Harris win them back?
July 31
July 30
Abortion-rights ballot measures may not help Democrats as much as they think
There isn't much evidence for the "reverse coattails" theory.
July 30
July 26
How Harris’ border record could impact her campaign message | 538 Politics Podcast
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Geoffrey Skelley about what might be in store for Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign.
July 26
July 26
Can Harris rally the Obama coalition in this election? | 538 Politics Podcast
Senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins the 538 Politics podcast to talk about what has changed and what hasn’t in the 2024 presidential race.
July 26
July 26
Does enthusiasm for candidates matter in this presidential race?
In the span of just two days, Vice President Kamala Harris consolidated support within the Democratic Party and is well on her way to securing the Democratic nomination.
July 26
July 22
How Harris’s polling numbers compare to Biden’s | 538 Politics Podcast
The 538 team reacts to President Joe Biden dropping out of the 2024 race, in this installment of the 538 Politics podcast.
July 22
July 22
What happens to Biden’s campaign cash now? | 538 Politics Podcast
Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins Galen Druke to talk about what’s next for President Joe Biden’s team.
July 22
July 22
Does Harris have enough time to campaign? | 538 Politics Podcast
In this weekend installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins to talk about Vice President Harris’s possible nomination.
July 22
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