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Rep. Matt Gaetz is seen during preparations on the second day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 16, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisc.
Rep. Matt Gaetz is seen during preparations on the second day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 16, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisc.
Aug 19
Joe Raedle/Getty Images, FILE

Latest 538 Headlines

August 19

Do voters know what Harris stands for? | 538 Politics Podcast

538's Galen Druke discusses Harris' policy positions, or the lack thereof, with senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley, and whether this could be an advantage for her.
August 19
Do voters know what Harris stands for? | 538 Politics Podcast
August 19

How much influence does Harris have on Biden's policies? | 538 Politics Podcast

538 senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks to Galen Druke about how Kamala Harris is set to establish her own presence outside of President Joe Biden as the 2024 DNC begins.
August 19
How much influence does Harris have on Biden's policies?
August 19

Who are presidential delegates and what are their roles?

538 senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich explains the role of delegates and how they're selected as the 2024 DNC kicks off in Chicago.
August 19
Who are presidential delegates and what are their roles?
August 19

5 primaries to watch in Florida and Alaska

Gaetz faces a McCarthy-backed challenger in the Sunshine State.
August 19
Rep. Matt Gaetz is seen during preparations on the second day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 16, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisc.
August 19

Greetings from the 2024 DNC in Chicago

538 looks at the history of political conventions in the Windy City.
August 19
Banners announcing the upcoming Democratic National Convention (DNC) are seen in downtown Chicago in Chicago, Aug. 12, 2024.
August 19

Greetings from the 2024 DNC in Chicago

538’s Nathaniel Rakich takes a look at the history of political conventions in the Windy City.
August 19
538’s Nathaniel Rakich takes a look at the history of political conventions in the Windy City.
August 16

How do voters pick a candidate? | 538 Politics Podcast

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discusses what questions voters consider when going to the polls.
August 16
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discusses what questions voters consider when going to the polls.
August 16

How important is the border for Latino voters? | 538 Politics Podcast

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke talk about the importance of Vice President Kamala Harris clarifying her stance on issues like immigration.
August 16
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke talk about the importance of Vice President Kamala Harris clarifying her stance on issues like immigration.
August 16

Democratic support among Latino voters has shifted since Biden dropped out

538's Galen Druke talks to Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, about a possible shift in Latino voters toward Vice President Kamala Harris.
August 16
538's Galen Druke talks to Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, about a possible shift in Latino voters toward Vice President Kamala Harris.
August 16

Can Harris win back Biden's Israel-Gaza critics?

Harris has a challenge, and an opportunity, to define her stance on the war.
August 16
People gather to protest a campaign event for Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris on Aug. 14, 2024 in New York City.
August 15

JD Vance is more unpopular than Sarah Palin

Vance is one of the least popular vice-presidential picks this century.
August 15
Republican vice presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance reacts to the cheering crowd during a campaign event in Reno, Nev., July 30, 2024.
August 13

Will Harris's late start help or hurt her in the general election?

She isn't the first to secure a presidential nomination this close to November.
August 13
Harris isn't the only presidential nominee to clinch her party's nomination late in the election cycle.
August 13

Do voters think of Harris as a DEI candidate? | 538 Politics Podcast

538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik discuss polling around the belief that Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris may be a DEI candidate.
August 13
538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik discuss polling around the belief that Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris may be a DEI candidate.
August 13

What does poll denialism reveal? | 538 Politics Podcast

New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and 538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich play another round of "Good or Bad Use of Polling?"
August 13
New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and 538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich play another round of "Good or Bad Use of Polling?"
August 13

Trump’s line of attack for the 2024 election | 538 Politics Podcast

538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich talk with New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about former President Donald Trump’s latest strategy to win votes.
August 13
538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich talk with New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about former President Donald Trump’s latest strategy to win votes.
August 12

6 primaries to watch in Minnesota and Wisconsin

Rep. Ilhan Omar is the latest Squad member to face a serious challenger.
August 12
lhan Omar and Don Samuels
August 09

Americans don't like Project 2025

Plus, polls on vaccines, the child tax credit and which party is more "weird."
August 09
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
August 08

Why immigration is a better issue for Trump than it was in 2020

Public opinion about immigration has swung to the right since Biden took office.
August 08
Public opinion on immigration has swung toward Republicans.
August 07

A look at Gov. Tim Walz’s political history | 538 Politics Podcast

Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about VP pick Walz’s progressive record as governor.
August 07
Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about VP pick Walz’s progressive record as governor.
August 07

Tim Walz’s appeal in the 2024 election | 538 Politics Podcast

The 538 team reacts to Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris’s VP pick and discusses Tim Walz’s appeal in the 2024 election.
August 07
The 538 team reacts to Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris’s VP pick and discusses Tim Walz’s appeal in the 2024 election.
August 07

The challenges ahead for the Harris-Walz campaign | 538 Politics Podcast

ABC News Politics Reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses the Harris-Walz campaign and its challenges.
August 07
ABC News Politics Reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses the Harris-Walz campaign and its challenges.
August 07

Can Harris ride memes all the way to the White House?

Her popularity on social media mirrors her rise in the polls.
August 07
Vice President Kamala Harris has seen a wave of interest on social media since President Joe Biden endorsed her
August 06

Tim Walz was the safe VP pick

But he probably won't give Harris an electoral boost.
August 06
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz arrives to speak at a press conference regarding new gun legislation at City Hall on Aug. 1, 2024 in Bloomington, Minn.
August 06

How would a general election debate impact the presidential campaign?

ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses how a presidential debate could benefit Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris.
August 06
ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses how a presidential debate could benefit Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris.
August 06

How has reaction to Russian prisoner swap impacted the Biden-Harris administration?

Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about how the latest Russian prisoner swap impacted the popularity of the current administration and Kamala Harris.
August 06
Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about how the latest Russian prisoner swap impacted the popularity of the current administration and Kamala Harris.
August 06

What the polls say about a Harris vs. Trump matchup

The 538 team discusses the latest polling and how the election is looking like a toss-up.
August 06
The 538 team discusses the latest polling and how the election is looking like a toss-up.
August 05

18 primaries to watch in Missouri, Michigan, Washington and Kansas

Rep. Cori Bush faces a major challenge in her St. Louis-based seat.
August 05
In this May 23, 2024, file photo, Rep. Cori Bush speaks during a press conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C.
August 02

Harris and Trump are tied in 538’s new polling averages

Harris is doing noticeably better than Biden was before he dropped out.
August 02
Introducing 538's new 2024 presidential polling averages for Kamala Harris versus Donald Trump.
August 01

What is civic respect? | 538 Politics Podcast

Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev talk about sweeping claims and how they relate to civic respect.
August 01
Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev talk about sweeping claims and how they relate to civic respect.
August 01

How people can respectfully disagree over politics

Political science professor Jeff Spinner-Halev discusses the difference between civic respect toward a person versus their belief.
August 01
Political science professor Jeff Spinner-Halev discusses the difference between civic respect toward a person versus their belief.
August 01

How the political parties got so far apart

Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev discuss with Galen Druke how political parties have sorted over time.
August 01
Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev discuss with Galen Druke how political parties have sorted over time.
August 01

How will sexism impact Harris's presidential campaign?

She's already responding to a slew of gendered and racist attacks.
August 01
Vice President Kamala Harris delivers remarks on reproductive rights at Ritchie Coliseum on the campus of the University of Maryland, June 24, 2024, in College Park, Md.
July 31

The potential of Tim Walz as the Harris VP pick

ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the Minnesota governor as the potential running mate for Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
July 31
Politics reporter Brittany Shepherd joins the 538 podcast to discuss the Minnesota governor as the potential running mate for the Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
July 31

Could Josh Shapiro be the Harris VP pick? | 538 Politics Podcast

The Pennsylvania governor is a popular and charismatic politician and is on the shortlist for vice president.
July 31
The Pennsylvania governor is a popular and charismatic politician and is on the shortlist for vice president.
July 31

Does the VP pick impact a presidential candidate’s support? | 538 Politics Podcast

The 538 team discusses who is on the shortlist for vice president for the Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
July 31
The 538 team discusses who is on the shortlist for vice president for the Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
July 31

Young Black voters might be swing voters now

Biden's support among young Black voters was weak. Can Harris win them back?
July 31
Younger Black voters have become more Republican.
July 30

Abortion-rights ballot measures may not help Democrats as much as they think

There isn't much evidence for the "reverse coattails" theory.
July 30
Anti-abortion protesters stand outside of the Fiserv Center as the Republican National Convention begins on July 15, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wis.
July 26

How Harris’ border record could impact her campaign message | 538 Politics Podcast

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Geoffrey Skelley about what might be in store for Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign.
July 26
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Geoffrey Skelley about what might be in store for Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign.
July 26

Can Harris rally the Obama coalition in this election? | 538 Politics Podcast

Senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins the 538 Politics podcast to talk about what has changed and what hasn’t in the 2024 presidential race.
July 26
Senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins the 538 Politics podcast to talk about what has changed and what hasn’t in the 2024 presidential race.
July 26

Does enthusiasm for candidates matter in this presidential race?

In the span of just two days, Vice President Kamala Harris consolidated support within the Democratic Party and is well on her way to securing the Democratic nomination.
July 26
In the span of just two days, Vice President Kamala Harris consolidated support within the Democratic Party and is well on her way to securing the Democratic nomination.
July 22

How Harris’s polling numbers compare to Biden’s | 538 Politics Podcast

The 538 team reacts to President Joe Biden dropping out of the 2024 race, in this installment of the 538 Politics podcast.
July 22
VIDEO: How Harris’s polling numbers compare to Biden’s | 538 Politics Podcast
July 22

What happens to Biden’s campaign cash now? | 538 Politics Podcast

Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins Galen Druke to talk about what’s next for President Joe Biden’s team.
July 22
VIDEO: What happens to Biden’s campaign cash now? | 538 Politics Podcast
July 22

Does Harris have enough time to campaign? | 538 Politics Podcast

In this weekend installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins to talk about Vice President Harris’s possible nomination.
July 22
VIDEO: Does Harris have enough time to campaign?

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